Is this financial advice?
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No. TCG Quant is an informational tool that tracks quantitative supply and demand signals built from publicly available market data — eBay listings and completed sales, TCGPlayer pricing, and PSA grading populations. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, or trading advice. Past signal performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making any purchase decisions.
How often is the data updated?
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Every day. Prices and supply refresh daily; grading populations refresh on their own, slower schedule.
What does the hit rate actually mean?
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Out of 460 historical signals tracked, 75.8% correctly identified a set that was in active supply contraction — meaning prices held or appreciated over the following 4 weeks. The average gain across resolved signals is measured at 4 and 8 week intervals. All pricing data is sourced from eBay and TCGPlayer, updated daily.
What markets does TCG Quant cover?
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Signals and research: 150 sealed Pokémon and One Piece products — booster boxes, bundles, ETBs and premium collections.
Your portfolio: all of that plus singles, slabs, cases, and sealed Magic, Yu-Gi-Oh, Lorcana, Gundam and Riftbound. Those are priced, but not scored.
What's the difference between BUY SETUP, WATCH, and NEUTRAL?
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Every product is scored 0–10 each day on demand, falling supply, days of stock left, and supply dropping while price holds. 7+ is a BUY SETUP, 5–6 is WATCH, below 5 is NEUTRAL. The dashboard shows what drove each score.
Why do you use eBay data? What about TCGPlayer?
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Prices come from TCGplayer. Supply and sales speed come from eBay, the biggest market for sealed product, so it shows best how fast product is moving.
What is the Destruction Tracker?
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The Destruction Tracker estimates how much sealed supply has been permanently removed from the market through box openings. When collectors open packs and submit cards for grading, those sealed boxes are gone forever. We track graded populations from PSA, CGC, TAG, Beckett, SGC and PCG across every set we have coverage for — over 70 today — to estimate the number of packs, boxes, and cases consumed. Higher destruction = less sealed supply remaining = stronger long-term price support.
What is the Set Explorer?
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The Set Explorer is a research tool that lets you deep-dive into any set across Pokémon and One Piece. It shows chase card pricing, pull rates, market data charts, supply and demand metrics, PSA grading activity, and Long-Term Thesis (LTS) scores. Browse by era or search for any set to see the full picture before making buying decisions.
What is the LTS (Long-Term Thesis) score?
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A 0–10 long-term rating from chase card value, brand appeal, growth since MSRP, how fast supply is being opened, and milestone status. 9+ is Generational, 7+ Strong, 4+ Moderate. New sets score low until they have history — that means unproven, not weak.
Can I bring in the collection I already track somewhere else?
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Yes. A CSV export from another app imports on any plan, including free. On Premium you can also drop in up to eight screenshots and we read them for you. Every row is shown to you for confirmation before anything is added — nothing is written to your portfolio without you approving it. If a product does not match our catalog automatically you can link it by hand afterwards, and it picks up live pricing from that point on.
Where does my portfolio data live, and can anyone else see it?
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It is yours and it is private. Holdings, cost basis and transaction history are tied to your account and are never shown to other users, published, or included in any public page. You can export your full transaction log to CSV at any time, and the Offer Sheet you send a buyer deliberately contains none of it.
Does the buyer see what I paid?
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No, and that is a deliberate design rule rather than a setting. The Offer Sheet shows only the items, the quantities and the price you are asking. Cost basis, unrealised gain, return multiples and how long you have held a position never appear on the buyer's copy. Every line does carry a TCGPlayer link and a completed-eBay-sales link so the buyer can verify your pricing independently — which is usually what a negotiation stalls on.
Do the portfolio values update on their own?
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Yes. Every tracked product, single and slab re-prices with the nightly build, so unrealised P/L, MOIC and ROI move without you touching anything. Graded slabs are marked to recent sales for the specific grade you hold rather than to a raw price. For anything genuinely untracked you can set your own mark, and the app labels it clearly as your figure rather than ours.
What is a sell target?
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A price per unit you set on any holding in your portfolio — the point at which that position is done. The row shows the target and how far away today's price is, and flips to target hit once the market reaches it. On Premium, the daily alert run emails you the day a tracked product crosses it. Targets are yours to change or clear at any time, and they never appear on an Offer Sheet.
What alerts can I get, and how often do they send?
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All Premium. Holdings: up or down on your cost, a sell target hit, or a buy setup that ended. Watchlist: it became a buy, dropped sharply, or hit your price. Everything arrives in one email a day, and only when something changes.
Can I cancel my premium subscription?
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Yes — you can cancel anytime from your account page. No contracts, no annual commitment required. If you cancel, you'll retain premium access through the end of your current billing period.
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