⌘K
Display currency
$
USDUS Dollar
✓
£
GBPBritish Pound
✓
€
EUREuro
✓
CA$
CADCanadian Dollar
✓
A$
AUDAustralian Dollar
✓
¥
JPYJapanese Yen
✓
This data snapshot may be more than 7 days old. Prices and signals may have changed.
Select two products to compare — click any card to add it
How This Dashboard Works
MARKET INTELLIGENCE GUIDE
THE THREE SIGNALS
Entry Window — BUY SETUP
All 3 supply contraction conditions are met simultaneously. Historically the strongest early indicator of sustained price appreciation — use as an entry signal for new or existing positions.
Watch
2 of 3 conditions met. Supply contraction is developing — worth monitoring as a potential upcoming entry window.
⬜
Neutral
0–1 conditions met. No clear signal at this time.
THE 3 CONDITIONS
1
Rising demand trend
The Demand/Supply Ratio (DSR) is trending upward over the past 4 weeks. More buyers competing for fewer boxes.
2
Supply dropping 10%+
Units available below the +20% target price have fallen more than 10% over the past 4 weeks. Actionable supply is meaningfully declining.
3
Tight inventory
At the current sales pace, remaining stock would sell out in under 25 days. Scarcity is imminent.
KEY METRICS
Market Price
Current eBay sold listing average — what the market is actually paying.
+20% Target
Near-term price reference. Long-term holders may see significantly more.
Stock (days)
Days until units below the +20% target price sell through at the current daily sales rate. Under 25 = tight. Under 14 = critical.
Absorption
Weekly dollar value absorbed by buyers. High = strong demand pressure.
CAGR
Annualized return on any product. Use the CAGR Calculator (top-right FAB) to enter your own entry price and date.
Coiling
Flat price while supply quietly drops — often precedes a sharp move.
CONVICTION RATING
Based on each set's historical signal track record. A signal on a HIGH conviction set has a stronger backtest than the same signal on an UNPROVEN set.
HIGH — strong track record
MEDIUM — solid history
LOW — signals have underperformed
⬜ UNPROVEN — insufficient history
BACKTESTED SIGNAL SCORE PERFORMANCE
Every Entry Window signal fired since April 2025 has been tracked against forward prices. Higher composite scores correlate with stronger appreciation:
Score Tier Hit Rate Avg 4w Avg 8w
9–10Elite 92–100%+28–43%+48–72%
7–8Strong 84%+12.8%see tracker
5–6Moderate 80%+8.2%see tracker
3–4Weak —%+—%see tracker
Measured over 266 confirmed signals, May 2025 – April 2026, at 4w and 8w post-signal. These are a fixed snapshot of that window — the Track Record board recomputes from every signal since and is the live number. ⚠ Weak tier (3–4) has a small sample and a correspondingly wide hit-rate range.
RESEARCH TOOLS
TOOL
Grading & Destruction Tracker
Graded population data across 115 sets, PSA via GemRate plus CGC, TAG, Beckett, SGC and PCG. Tracks gem rates, 52-week PSA grading velocity, monthly momentum, and estimates sealed supply destruction from every grader's population.
TOOL
Set Explorer
Deep-dive research by set: chase cards with pricing, pull rates, market data charts, and era-level overviews. Browse by era or search any set.
TOOL
Long-Term Thesis (LTS) Score
0–10 investment thesis rating for each set based on IP desirability, chase card significance, historical price performance, and destruction momentum. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+).
YOUR PORTFOLIO — V.8
Everything above is the research side: what the market is doing. This is the other half — what you hold, valued with the same data.
PF
Portfolio
Track what you actually own. Every holding carries its cost basis, live value and unrealized gain, and the same market data the research side uses — so a signal on a set you hold is a signal on your position.
IMP
Import your collection
Import a CSV from another tracker — or a screenshot on Premium — and we match your products against the catalog. Anything ambiguous is flagged for review before it lands, and nothing imports until you confirm it.
GRD
Graded slabs
Record a card at the grade you actually hold — PSA 1–10, BGS 10 and 10 Black, CGC 10 and 10 Pristine, SGC, TAG and ACE — and it is valued at that grade's market price, not the raw card's.
WCH
Watchlist & alerts
Watch products you do not own yet and get told when one enters an Entry Window or moves on price, rather than checking back to find out.
CHG
What’s Changed
What your book did since you last looked, split into market movement and money you added — so a deposit never reads as a gain.
SELL
Offer sheet & sharing
Build a priced sheet to sell a block, or share a read-only view of your portfolio. Neither ever exposes your cost basis or gains — a buyer sees what is for sale and at what price, nothing else.
LONG-TERM THESIS (LTS) SCORE
The LTS score (0–10) measures a set's long-term investment potential independently of short-term supply/demand signals. It answers: "If I hold this sealed product for 2+ years, how strong is the fundamental thesis?"
IP
IP Strength (0–2 pts)
How desirable is the intellectual property? Iconic characters, fan-favorite sets, and cultural significance all drive sustained collector demand.
CAGR
Appreciation from MSRP (0–2 pts)
How much has the product appreciated from its original retail price? Higher CAGR from MSRP indicates stronger organic demand growth.
CHASE
Chase Card Value (0–2 pts)
How valuable are the top 10 chase cards? Sets with high-value singles create incentive to open sealed product, permanently destroying supply.
DEST
Destruction Momentum (0–2 pts)
How fast is sealed supply being destroyed through pack openings? Measured via PSA grading velocity — higher grading rates mean more boxes opened.
MILE
Milestone (0–2 pts)
Anniversary sets, generation-defining releases, and other milestone products historically command premium valuations long-term.
9–10 · GENERATIONAL
7–8 · STRONG LONG-TERM
4–6 · MODERATE
1–3 · SIGNAL ONLY
DATA UPDATE CADENCE
Pricing (all products) Daily
Supply & demand signals (BB, ETB, PC ETB) Weekly
PSA grading population (55 sets) Periodic
Legacy & monthly products Monthly
Pricing via TCGPlayer API (daily) · Supply via eBay (weekly) · PSA population via GemRate CSV exports

Loading…
Select a product…
vs
Select a product…
Product Comparison
CAGR Calculator
Entry:
Annualized return (CAGR)
—
Entry price auto
—
Current
—
Total return
—
Hold
—
What's Changed
Loading...
—
Upgrades
—
Downgrades
—
Price Moves
—
Supply Shifts
Allocation Calculator
Era filter:
Investment budget
$
Risk level
Not financial advice. Signal-based position sizing — always apply your own judgment.
Destruction Tracker
Estimated sealed supply consumed, from every grader's population
— packs/box
— boxes/case
— cards/pack
Total graded · all graders
—
—
Est. packs consumed
—
at current rate
Est. boxes consumed
—
—
Est. cases consumed
—
—
Submission rate scenarios
Conservative————
Base case————
Aggressive————
Set Explorer